Capital Scarcity Persists T here remains scheduled maturities in excess of $300 billion for each of the four years, 2014 through 2017. Most of this debt was underwritten during the peak of the last cycle from 2004 to 2007, when valuations were high and loan underwriting standards were loose, amortization disappeared and interest-only payment terms took its place. The majority of these loans are either under water (the loan is in excess of today's value of the property) or un-refinanceable, given today's lower asset valuations and more restrictive debt covenants. Additionally, a huge portion of the debt that matured during the 2009-2012 timeframe (per the graph below, in excess of $300 billion per year) has not yet been resolved. Maturities Catalyze opportunity It has been "extended and pretended" and still awaits recapitalization and resolution. In other words, the majority of the problem in CRE is still to be solved and the majority of the distre...
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